• Cryptocurrency market outlook april 2025
• Cryptocurrency market update april 2025
• Cryptocurrency market analysis march 2025

Cryptocurrency market outlook april 2025

Solana has shown positive movement but lacks strong organic demand. Its total value locked (TVL) remains low, raising concerns about network stability comic play. A breakout above $150 with high volume is necessary for further gains and indication of a potential bullish building momentum.

April was a month of major developments, from Bitcoin’s price swings to Ethereum’s upgrade and expanding institutional investments. Regulatory shifts and high-profile partnerships are paving the way for greater crypto adoption.

Avalanche has risen by more than 16% in the last 7 days and is now trading above $22. The blockchain infrastructure of this platform provides quick processes and application scalability to attract more users for its ongoing development.

Cryptocurrency market outlook april 2025

At least one top wealth management platform will announce a 2% or higher recommended Bitcoin allocation. For a variety of reasons, including seasoning periods, internal education, compliance requirements, and more, no major wealth manager or asset management firm has yet to officially add a Bitcoin allocation recommendation to investment-advised model portfolios. That will change in 2025, and this will further swell the flows and AUM of U.S. spot-based Bitcoin ETPs. -Alex Thorn

At least one top wealth management platform will announce a 2% or higher recommended Bitcoin allocation. For a variety of reasons, including seasoning periods, internal education, compliance requirements, and more, no major wealth manager or asset management firm has yet to officially add a Bitcoin allocation recommendation to investment-advised model portfolios. That will change in 2025, and this will further swell the flows and AUM of U.S. spot-based Bitcoin ETPs. -Alex Thorn

Leverage and liquidation risk: The current leverage ratio in the cryptocurrency market is relatively high (perpetual contract funding rates have recently rebounded), if CPI data triggers violent price fluctuations, it may trigger large-scale liquidations. For example, after the February CPI data was released, Bitcoin’s trading volume surged 40% within 1 hour, with obvious panic selling. Additionally, tariff policy and inflation transmission: The automobile import tariffs (25%) implemented by the Trump administration on April 2 may push up US import costs, exacerbating imported inflation pressure. If March CPI data exceeds expectations as a result, the market may further worry about Fed policy tightening, putting pressure on crypto assets.

In the medium term (6-12 months), if ecosystem activity significantly increases after the upgrade (such as DeFi TVL growth, Layer 2 transaction volume doubling), ETH may start a new cycle; conversely, if competing public chains continue to squeeze market share, prices may face pressure.

After the April tariff policy is implemented, the optimistic scenario is that Trump’s tariff policy doesn’t trigger large-scale trade retaliation, and the Fed releases dovish signals (such as hints at rate cuts), BTC could break through the $90,000 resistance level and test the $100,000 mark; but the pessimistic scenario is, if tariff conflicts escalate and PCE data exceeds expectations, BTC may test the $75,000-$80,000 support range, and the altcoin market may accelerate its collapse.

Bitcoin and Ethereum remain dominant forces in the crypto world in April 2025, with significant developments taking place in both. Bitcoin is innovating through the adoption of the Lightning Network, emphasizing faster and cost-effective transactions. Ethereum’s shift to proof-of-stake has bolstered its scalability, reducing energy consumption and reinforcing its appeal to eco-conscious investors. Other cryptocurrencies like Solana, Cardano, and Polkadot are also commanding attention due to their unique propositions and rapid technological advancements. These prominent coins collectively contribute to investor confidence, urging diversifications within crypto portfolios.

Cryptocurrency market update april 2025

However, this positive factor may be partially offset by other macroeconomic factors (such as tariff policies), as Trump’s tariff policies could cause inflation. There’s a contradiction between inflation and rate cut expectations as the Fed maintains its forecast of two rate cuts (50 basis points) in 2025, but internal divisions among officials have intensified (fewer officials supporting cuts, more opposing). Meanwhile, core inflation expectations have been revised upward (2025 core PCE expectations raised from 2.5% to 2.8%), coupled with Trump’s tariff policies potentially pushing up import costs, inflationary pressures may limit the Fed’s room for rate cuts. If inflation remains persistently high, Bitcoin may face significant volatility.

📈 Analysts anticipate Bitcoin’s potential surge to $100,000, fueled by institutional demand and favorable macroeconomic conditions. ⚠️ However, excessive optimism could trigger short-term corrections, making risk management essential.

In the current high interest rate environment maintained by the Fed, the carry trade opportunities for long-term securities (such as US Treasuries) become more attractive, encouraging foreign investors to increase positions to lock in higher returns. Foreign investors tend to “buy long, sell short,” meaning increasing holdings of medium and long-term US bonds while reducing short-term securities. This strategy may reflect bets on the Fed’s future rate cut path: if rate cuts are delayed, long-term yields remain relatively stable; if rate cuts begin, long-term bond prices will benefit from declining rates.

April 2025 presents a forward-looking view of the cryptocurrency landscape, marked by both challenges and opportunities. Predictions point towards increased mainstream acceptance, backed by technological innovations and evolving regulations. As blockchain technology becomes a standard for various industries, new forms of collaborations and business models might flourish. The intersection of cryptocurrencies with AI, IoT, and other emerging technologies promises to unleash new possibilities. Lastly, as societal values shift towards sustainability and inclusivity, cryptocurrencies may adapt to integrate these goals. By learning from past experiences, the crypto market aims to solidify its place as a transformative force in global finance.

Cryptocurrency market analysis march 2025

BTC chart analysis for 2025 – The longest term Bitcoin price chart shows that BTC is finally clearing $100k. BTC is now consolidating around the median of its very long term rising channel. The probability that our BTC forecasted prices, both support and bullish targets, will be hit in 2025 is very high.

According to a Monthly Market Insights report by Binance Research, the industry saw regulatory progress and growth in certain sectors in March, reinforcing positive sentiment for medium and long-term development.

Ethereum also seemed to find a bottom according to Glassnode’s Ethereum Cost Basis Distribution metrics, showing strong support at $1,886 despite a downtrend in the market. However, Ethereum’s performance compared to Bitcoin weakened significantly, with the ETH/BTC ratio declining.

Bitcoin’s current market prediction by CryptoQuant aligns with the bearish signals indicated by key valuation metrics like the MVRV Ratio Z-score. This suggests a cautious approach for investors as liquidity dries up and new whale selling activity increases. Comparatively, gold’s rise may attract traditional investors, potentially affecting Bitcoin’s appeal.

Unfortunately, the DeFi total value locked (TVL) dropped 1.5% month-on-month (MoM), with intense competition leading to declining market share for some leading platforms like the decentralized exchange (DEX) Uniswap. Binance Research discovered that rival DEXs like PancakeSwap and Raydium have increased their market shares.